Moritz Drechsel-Grau

Ph.D. candidate in Economics at the University of Mannheim



University of Mannheim
Department of Economics
L7 3-5, Room P02
68161 Mannheim, Germany
moritz.drechsel-grau@gess.uni-mannheim.de

Welcome!

I am a Ph.D. candidate in Economics at the University of Mannheim and will be on the job market in 2020-2021.

My research studies the causes and consequences of socioeconomic inequalities using both structural models, reduced-form techniques and micro data from a variety of sources.

In my job market paper, I investigate how the minimum wage affects employment, output and welfare using a rich equilibrium search model estimated using German sociol security data.

You can download my CV here.

Research Fields

Macroeconomics
Labor Economics
Urban Economics
Computational Economics

References

Tom Krebs
Michèle Tertilt
Sebastian Siegloch
Andreas Peichl

Job Market Paper

Employment, Output and Welfare Effects of Minimum Wages

In this paper, I investigate how employment, output and welfare respond to increasing the minimum wage. I first construct a search-matching model with worker and firm heterogeneity, endogenous search effort and vacancy posting as well as multiple employment levels. I estimate the model using administrative data and use the recent introduction of a federal minimum wage in Germany as an independent model test. I first show that the model is consistent with the reduced form evidence on the short-run employment and productivity effects of the recent introduction of a federal minimum wage in Germany reform. I then use the estimated and tested model to analyze the effects of increasing the minimum wage. I present three main findings. First, long-run employment does not decline for minimum wages below 60% of the median wage as firms' lower vacancy posting is offset by workers' higher search effort. Long-run total output keeps increasing until the minimum wage reaches about 75% of the median wage -- driven by reallocation to more productive firms and jobs with longer hours. Higher average output per job outweighs the loss of lower unemployment. Second, I show that long-run output gains go along with considerable short- and medium-run unemployment. The higher the minimum wage hike, the more workers are initially laid off and finding a (better) job takes time -- especially in a labor market with fewer vacancies. Third, while per capita welfare increases in the minimum wage, not all workers benefit from higher minimum wages. For women who often rely on low-hours jobs, increasing disutility from working longer hours outweighs the added utility of higher incomes. Moreover, low-skill workers become non-employable as the minimum wage rises.